EFL Trophy Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Huddersfield Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huddersfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 4
HUR
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 0
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
HUR
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 0
COL
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 0
HUR
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 3
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 0
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
OLD
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
CUM
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 0
HUR
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |