Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-8
Huachipato vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 2
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
HUA
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 4
HUA
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |