Huachipato vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 2
PAL
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OHI
1 - 0
HUA
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NUB
3 - 1
HUA
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 4
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
HUA
9%
16%
76%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAG
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
HUA
9%
16%
76%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |