Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-3
Huachipato vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 4
HUA
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 3
HUA
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
UCH
0 - 2
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
HUA
1 - 1
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
COB
1 - 1
HUA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
COQ
1 - 4
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
COL
4 - 1
OHI
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
EVE
3 - 0
COL
26%
25%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |