Hannoverscher vs Lupo-Martini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
10º
4º
8
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
14 | 70 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 64 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
1º
|
18 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 55 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 50 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 49 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 42 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 29 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 25 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 60% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannoverscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 2
HSC
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
6 - 1
VER
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 3
HSC
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
4 - 0
SVM
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
4 - 1
HSC
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lupo-Martini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VER
3 - 1
LUP
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUP
2 - 0
SVM
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
3 - 2
LUP
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUP
0 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AHA
3 - 2
LUP
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |