HSC 21 vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
HSC
2 - 2
EVV
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
OOS
2 - 2
HSC
33%
23%
45%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HSC
3 - 4
DBI
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ACH
3 - 5
HSC
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HSC
3 - 0
JUL
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 4
ZWA
58%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ZWA
2 - 2
SWI
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TER
3 - 2
ZWA
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ZWA
0 - 5
NOO
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ZWA
0 - 4
ACH
31%
24%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |