HSC 21 vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
14º
6º
25
17º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
HSC
39%
24%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HSC
5 - 2
GVV
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 5
SLO
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
HSC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GEM
0 - 0
HSC
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DON
3 - 2
ADO
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 2
DON
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DON
2 - 2
USV
13%
19%
69%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DON
4 - 2
GVV
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
DON
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |