HSC 21 vs Ajax Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
18º
16º
24
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 65 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 61 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 54 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 41 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 35 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
17º
|
57% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 18 |
18º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
HSC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 3
URK
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HHC
3 - 0
HSC
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
USV
3 - 0
HSC
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HSC
5 - 2
URK
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
HUI
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TER
2 - 4
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SJC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |