Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
HDR
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 3
RUD
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
HDR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 0
HDR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
ZMI
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
KUS
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 2
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
NKD
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
ORI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 0
BIJ
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |