Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
35
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZMI
3 - 1
HDR
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
NKD
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 1
HDR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 0
BIJ
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 0
NKJ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 3
SOL
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 1
ZMI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKD
1 - 0
KUS
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 2
HNK
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
5 - 2
BIJ
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |