Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Dugo Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
13º
18
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 44 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 28 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 18 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BJE
3 - 2
HDR
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
HDR
2 - 0
KAR
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HRV
0 - 4
HDR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HDR
2 - 0
NKG
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KRK
2 - 2
HDR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NK Dugo Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DUG
2 - 4
MZL
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DUG
5 - 2
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
JAD
2 - 1
DUG
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DUG
0 - 1
KUS
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRN
0 - 1
DUG
27%
24%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |