Hrvace vs NK Karlovac 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
3º
28
1º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 44 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 28 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 18 |
16º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 13% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BJE
3 - 2
HRV
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HRV
3 - 0
HDR
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULJ
4 - 0
HRV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HRV
1 - 2
MZL
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NKK
3 - 3
HRV
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NK Karlovac 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
DUG
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SEG
4 - 2
KAR
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
NGM
2 - 1
KAR
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
MZL
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 3
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |