Hoyo Oita vs Sagawa Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HOY
4 - 5
RYK
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
HOY
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HOY
3 - 1
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
6 - 2
HOY
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
FUJ
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 2
YOK
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
SAG
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 0
VVA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAG
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
JEF
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |