Hoyo Oita vs Nagasaki IAS HS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
VVA
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
HOY
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
6 - 1
HON
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 4
HOY
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 3
ZWE
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |