Hoyo de Manzanares vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo de Manzanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 0
HMA
19%
22%
60%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EES
3 - 7
HMA
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HMA
2 - 4
RSR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 3
HMA
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HMA
2 - 2
POZ
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
COB
31%
24%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 4
VDB
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |