Hoyo de Manzanares vs At. Leones Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo de Manzanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
HMA
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HMA
4 - 3
CER
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 2
HMA
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HMA
1 - 0
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AGR
1 - 2
HMA
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Leones Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 5
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
ATL
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NBO
2 - 2
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
PDM
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |