Hoyo de Manzanares B vs San Agustín Los Negrales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo de Manzanares B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALP
1 - 1
HMA
52%
20%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HMA
3 - 2
LDC
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BDS
1 - 1
HMA
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HMA
2 - 2
CER
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 2
HMA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Agustín Los Negrales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TRS
5 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
8%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
4 - 1
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 4
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LDC
5 - 1
SAN
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
BDS
41%
21%
39%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |