Lorca FC vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 2
JUM
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
LOR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 0
EXT
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
LOR
25%
28%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
MAD
35%
30%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 1
REC
25%
26%
50%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
CDE
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
REC
19%
24%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
REC
0 - 0
CRD
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |