Lorca FC vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
ELD
9 - 2
IMP
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
IMP
1 - 2
ELC
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CIE
5 - 1
IMP
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
IMP
1 - 1
ALB
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ALI
6 - 1
IMP
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |