Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Lorca FC vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
NUE
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
YEC
1 - 1
LOR
14%
23%
62%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 1
OLI
92%
7%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 2
LOR
7%
20%
74%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 2
ALC
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PNT
3 - 0
ALC
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDM
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |