Lorca FC vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BUL
0 - 2
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
8 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 2
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
PLU
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUM
2 - 0
MSM
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUL
3 - 0
JUM
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -3 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JUM
3 - 2
MIN
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
JUM
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JUM
2 - 1
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |