Lorca FC vs CD Beniel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MSM
0 - 0
LOR
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 0
MIN
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
LOR
15%
20%
66%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
CD Beniel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
0 - 4
BUL
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
CDB
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 1
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 2
CDB
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 2
IMP
10%
20%
70%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | +2 |