Lorca FC vs CAP Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
IMP
2 - 0
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 2
CHU
85%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
EGP
2 - 5
LOR
14%
22%
65%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 2
UDL
33%
26%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 2
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
AGU
27%
26%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
MIN
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAP
73%
16%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |