Lorca FC vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOR
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
ECI
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUC
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
ECI
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 3
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAD
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |