Lorca FC vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LOR
3 - 1
CAP
90%
8%
3%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 2
PLU
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 0
AGU
55%
24%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 3
PUL
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 0
AGU
33%
26%
40%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 2
MUL
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |