Howard vs Saint Francis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Howard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FDK
5 - 1
HBS
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HBS
1 - 1
SHP
51%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MMM
1 - 0
HBS
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
HBS
3 - 0
BBD
14%
18%
68%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LIU
3 - 1
HBS
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Francis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BBD
2 - 1
SFU
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SFU
3 - 2
LIU
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FBT
3 - 1
SFU
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SFU
1 - 0
MMM
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SFU
4 - 0
CCU
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |