MLS Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DAL
1 - 0
HOD
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 0
HOD
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
RSL
0 - 1
HOD
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
HOD
1 - 2
GAL
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 3
HOD
49%
23%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DAL
1 - 0
HOD
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 2
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 0
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
COC
1 - 3
DAL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
DAL
2 - 3
NER
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |