Houston Baptist vs Air Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
81.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston Baptist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 3
GCU
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HBH
0 - 2
UIW
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
AFF
6%
13%
82%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UVL
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
4 - 3
HBH
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CST
0 - 4
AFF
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 0
SJS
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AFF
1 - 2
STH
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GCU
0 - 3
AFF
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
RGV
0 - 1
AFF
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |