Hougang United vs Lion City Sailors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
8º
6º
36
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 72 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 68 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 46 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 36 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 23 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
9º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 69.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hougang United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HOU
1 - 0
TAN
61%
18%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CYL
3 - 2
HOU
10%
15%
76%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GEY
0 - 3
HOU
39%
22%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HOU
0 - 3
TAM
24%
20%
57%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LCS
0 - 3
HOU
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lion City Sailors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LCS
1 - 13
TAM
63%
18%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GEY
0 - 1
LCS
8%
12%
80%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
JOH
4 - 0
LCS
29%
19%
52%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
LCS
1 - 2
JOH
66%
18%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LCS
1 - 3
BAL
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |