Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
8º
6º
13
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 71 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 71 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 29 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 23 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hougang United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DPM
1 - 1
HOU
34%
22%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 2
CYL
84%
10%
6%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
5 - 1
HOU
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 3
BAL
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 6
GEY
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
7 - 2
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 1
ALB
9%
15%
76%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 6
GEY
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LCS
7 - 1
ALB
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CYL
3 - 2
ALB
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |