Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 2-4
L´Hospitalet vs CD Colonia Moscardó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
HOS
1 - 0
BAD
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
HOS
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 1
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 1
HOS
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 0
MAF
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LEG
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 3
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
CDM
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
ALC
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |