L´Hospitalet vs Atlètic Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+396%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
14º
8º
33
4º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 41 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 28 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
HOS
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
HOS
1 - 5
ZAR
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HOS
1 - 1
MOL
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
HOS
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LES
1 - 1
HOS
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atlètic Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CEA
4 - 0
LES
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 0
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
TON
13%
16%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
CEA
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 2
CFR
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |