Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
L´Hospitalet vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
HOS
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 1
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 1
HOS
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HOS
2 - 0
MAF
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
HOS
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 1
HOS
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAD
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAD
4 - 2
SCR
55%
26%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAD
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |