Horsham vs Potters Bar Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
CHE
67%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
HAR
59%
20%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KIN
1 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
HOR
60%
20%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Potters Bar Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
1 - 1
POT
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
POT
3 - 1
COR
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
5 - 1
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
POT
2 - 1
HOR
18%
24%
59%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 0
POT
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |