Horsham vs Peterborough Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 1
HOR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 1
WHI
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUL
1 - 1
HOR
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BOG
2 - 0
HOR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOL
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
BIS
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 2
PET
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PET
1 - 4
TAM
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
PET
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
2 - 1
PET
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |