Horsham vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 0
BOW
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
HOR
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
HOR
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 4
BIS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BOW
0 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 6
BOG
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 4
TOO
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |