Horsham vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
2 - 4
LEW
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 1
LEA
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 0
FOL
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 2
LEW
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 1
LEW
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |