Horsham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
HOR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOW
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 0
HOR
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
HOR
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 2
HOR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 2
POT
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
KIN
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 3
KIN
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
KIN
3 - 5
ENF
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |