Horsham vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 0
BOW
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
HOR
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
4 - 2
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
BIS
1 - 0
EAS
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 0
LEA
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BOG
3 - 1
EAS
31%
23%
47%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 1
WIN
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |