Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
AC Horsens vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 0
OBK
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FCN
1 - 0
ACH
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 2
MID
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
OBK
2 - 4
ACH
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 3
SON
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
RAN
2 - 0
SON
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BIF
0 - 2
RAN
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 1
ESB
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 0
RAN
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 1
MID
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |