AC Horsens vs Hobro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
6º
15
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 54 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 30 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
B93
1 - 0
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
2 - 2
OBK
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 4
VFF
19%
21%
60%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HVI
3 - 3
ACH
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 1
VEN
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 0
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MID
3 - 2
HOB
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 1
B93
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOB
0 - 3
OBK
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |