Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
AC Horsens vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 0
BIF
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
LYN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
OBK
0 - 1
ACH
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
AAB
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 2
FCN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
VEJ
1 - 2
HBK
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 2
HBK
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ESB
1 - 3
HBK
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HEL
0 - 2
HBK
30%
23%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
HBK
0 - 4
MID
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |