AC Horsens vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
6º
16
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 39 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
56% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
ACH
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ACH
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 1
HBK
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
HIL
2 - 0
ACH
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
FRE
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
MAF
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEJ
3 - 0
FRE
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 4
FRE
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |