AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 1
FCK
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SIF
0 - 1
ACH
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
ACH
5 - 0
SON
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KBK
2 - 1
ACH
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
AGF
5 - 1
BIF
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KBK
1 - 3
AGF
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AGF
2 - 1
LYN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCN
5 - 3
AGF
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
OBK
1 - 2
AGF
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |