Horley Town vs Redhill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 3
JBF
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 3
KNA
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EPS
1 - 4
HOR
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
TAD
1 - 1
HOR
69%
17%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 5
HOR
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Redhill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RED
3 - 0
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RED
0 - 0
JBF
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ABR
2 - 1
RED
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 0
RED
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 0
RED
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -2 |