Horley Town vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
60.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 2
ALT
26%
20%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JBF
3 - 0
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
HOR
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
RED
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 3
JBF
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 2
FAR
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
4 - 0
SPE
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
2 - 1
CRO
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 0
ALT
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 5
CRO
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |