Horizonte vs São Benedito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
TIR
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRA
29%
25%
47%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |