Horizonte vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
HOR
30%
24%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
4 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
20%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIM
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 2
FOR
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |