Horizonte vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 3
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 2
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
ICA
13%
21%
67%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |