Horizonte vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
24%
40%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
HOR
30%
23%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 0
ICA
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOR
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
TRA
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |